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Sign InAmid growing uncertainty regarding the trajectory of the U.S. economy, Bank of America's technical analysis team has warned that the S&P 500 is vulnerable to a corrective phase during the third quarter of 2026. According to reports, the bank's analysts observed market patterns and technical indicators suggesting that the current rally may face a temporary reversal or a period of consolidation, as the index appears increasingly overextended.
This cautious outlook coincides with mixed macroeconomic signals, as the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI reached 53.3 in early July, missing the 54 forecast per market data. Furthermore, the labor market showed signs of cooling with Non-Farm Payrolls reporting only 57k new jobs against an expected 110k, a significant shortfall that adds weight to the technical concerns regarding the sustainability of recent equity gains.
Investors are now closely monitoring technical support levels following these projections, particularly as the market digests the weak employment data released on July 2, 2026. With no immediate fundamental catalysts to drive further upside, the focus remains on upcoming industrial and consumer sentiment data to determine whether the predicted Q3 correction will manifest as a shallow consolidation or a deeper price retracement.