ING Forecasts Range-bound EUR/USD Supported by Fed Stance

Key Facts

Amid a lack of strong catalysts for a breakout, ING analysts suggest that the EUR/USD pair will likely continue trading within a specific range rather than establishing a clear trend. According to reports, the current stance of the Federal Reserve provides enough support to prevent significant downside in the pair, while the market lacks the momentum required for a major upward move.

This outlook aligns with recent forecasts from other institutions like Rabobank, which indicated a consensus on diminished volatility in the forex markets. Per market data, divergent economic performances are stabilizing the pair; for instance, French inflation cooled to 1.8% YoY in June 2026, while UK GDP grew by 0.6% in the same quarter, according to official data released on June 30.

Traders should monitor upcoming economic data that could disrupt this range-bound environment, particularly central bank communications. As current exchange levels reflect a state of equilibrium, any unexpected shift in the Federal Reserve's rhetoric regarding interest rates will serve as the primary catalyst for the next directional move.