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In a development that brings geopolitical risks back to the fore in the Gulf region, reports indicate that fighting has resumed near the Strait of Hormuz — the waterway through which roughly 20% of global oil supplies transit. This escalation significantly reduces the prospects for a swift recovery of strait operations, which have already been disrupted in recent months.
The renewed conflict reignites geopolitical risk premiums in oil markets, especially amid ongoing tensions between Iran and regional powers. The news comes as markets digest the latest weekly API crude oil stock change report for the week ending June 23, which showed a slight 0.765 million barrel draw in U.S. inventories (per economic data). Meanwhile, diplomatic solution pathways remain unclear, keeping supply chain pressures intact.
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Sign InIn terms of trading, crude oil prices are expected to remain elevated amid sustained geopolitical uncertainty, with traders monitoring any new diplomatic or military developments. Upcoming economic releases — including European consumer confidence and Canadian inflation data — may also influence global oil demand expectations over the next two weeks.