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In a move signaling OPEC's shift back to baseline quotas after prolonged voluntary cuts, Iraq's Oil Ministry announced that the organization has begun gradually restoring Iraq's pre-war production allocations. The ministry stated that this step is aimed at supporting Iraq's output capacity and oil sector recovery, which has been affected recently. Official sources confirmed that the restoration process is being implemented gradually according to an agreed mechanism among member states.
This development comes as global oil markets continue to adjust to shifting supply flows. According to market data, Brent crude is trading around $72 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate at $68 (close June 26, 2026), with ongoing concerns over weak Chinese demand and rising US inventories. OPEC+ had imposed significant voluntary cuts over the past two years to balance the market, and the quota restoration is expected to gradually increase Iraqi output, currently around 4 million barrels per day, versus a production capacity estimated at over 4.5 million barrels.
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Sign InInvestors are watching the next OPEC+ meeting scheduled for July 2026 (per the economic calendar) for more details on the quota restoration timeline, especially given diverging positions among some members. However, given the gradual nature of the process, no immediate price impact is expected, with focus remaining on global demand developments and central bank decisions that could affect economic growth and consequently oil demand.