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Amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, recent data shows crude oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz have reached their highest level since the onset of the Iran war. According to Reuters, shipments hit a record, indicating continued oil flow despite the conflict. This development eases fears of supply disruptions through the strategic waterway, which carries about 20% of global oil supplies.
The increase comes during a period of sharp volatility in oil markets, with U.S. crude futures declining this month amid global recession fears and rising non-OPEC output. Analysts suggest that higher flows through Hormuz reduce the geopolitical risk premium in prices, potentially pushing them lower in the near term.
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Sign InLooking ahead, traders are closely watching for any diplomatic developments related to Iran or changes in oil policy that could affect the sustainability of flows through the strait. Weekly U.S. inventory data and OPEC+ moves will also be key in determining price direction in the coming weeks.