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In a shift reflecting changing supply dynamics in commodity markets, aluminum prices fell for the fourth consecutive week as supplies from the Middle East resume. According to reports, the return of supply flows has eroded the geopolitical risk premium that previously boosted prices, driving a steady decline.
This decline follows a period of concern over supply shortages due to regional tensions, which had pushed prices higher. With production and exports resuming from key Middle Eastern suppliers, the market is moving back toward balance. However, global demand remains under watch, particularly amid slowing growth in China and Europe, based on preliminary data.
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Sign InOn the outlook front, no major direct economic data for aluminum were released in the past week, but investors are watching purchasing managers' indices from China and the eurozone to gauge industrial demand trends. With prices hovering near monthly lows, further downside pressure may emerge if supply recovery continues without a meaningful pickup in demand.