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After weeks of geopolitical tension that threatened global oil supplies, crude prices fell, edging closer to pre-war levels, as stranded tankers began leaving the Strait of Hormuz following an initial accord to end the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. According to Reuters, the development reflects diminishing risks of supply disruptions through the vital waterway, prompting traders to price in a lower risk premium.
The decline comes amid a broader regional détente, though the direct geopolitical catalyst overshadowed other factors. Recent economic data showed mixed signals, but the primary driver remains the easing of supply constraints. As tankers depart, supplies are expected to normalize gradually, further pressuring prices in the near term.
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Sign InUncertainty persists regarding the full implementation of the accord, keeping markets on edge. Any failure in subsequent phases could reignite tensions and push prices higher. Traders will focus on weekly U.S. inventory data and diplomatic updates to gauge the next direction for crude.