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Bitcoin's failure to approach the $72,000 level comes at a critical moment as the market braces for a $10 billion quarterly options settlement. According to CoinDesk, the cryptocurrency is trading far from that strike a day before expiry, challenging the max pain theory which assumes prices gravitate toward the level where most options expire worthless.
Market data shows Bitcoin trading around $61912.01 (per CoinMarketCap), roughly 5% below the $72,000 strike. The divergence suggests the max pain theory may not hold this time, reinforcing bearish sentiment. This backdrop includes volatility from recent central bank rate decisions and inflation data.
With expiry imminent, traders expect heightened volatility. If Bitcoin stays below $70,000, selling pressure could persist. A move above that level might re-test the max pain theory. No real-time price data is available from primary sources, so outlook remains cautious.
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