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Amid shifting global monetary dynamics, JP Morgan has warned that the Japanese Yen risks a fresh wave of depreciation unless the Ministry of Finance takes firm action to deter speculative pressure. According to reports, the USD/JPY pair reached 161.75, testing the 2024 highs of 161.95 and approaching a critical 40-year inflection point. Ministry of Finance data confirms that Japan maintains a substantial $1.3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves available for potential market intervention.
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Sign InThe pressure on the Yen is exacerbated by the significant interest rate differential with the United States, where the Federal Reserve maintained rates at 3.75% as of June 17, 2026, per market data. Analysts note that the 162 level represents a multi-decade resistance zone; failure to defend this level could invite further volatility, especially as the Yen continues to underperform against regional peers despite repeated verbal interventions from Japanese officials.
Traders should closely monitor current price action, with USD/JPY trading near 161.75 (close June 24, 2026). Key catalysts in the coming days include Japan's annual inflation rate data (forecast at 1.6%) and the release of the Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes on June 18, 2026. These events will be pivotal in determining whether the Bank of Japan will shift away from its ultra-loose stance to support the struggling currency.