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In a move reflecting a growing rift between US foreign policy and regional ally expectations, a new poll by Hebrew University’s Agam Institute shows overwhelming Israeli dissatisfaction with President Trump's decision to end the military campaign against Iran. According to reports, 92.1% of respondents believe Iran emerged victorious from the conflict and the subsequent US-brokered deal, while 82.9% feel the six-week campaign left Israel's long-term security weaker. Despite the domestic political fury over the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU), PM Netanyahu insisted that Tehran will never possess nuclear weapons.
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Sign InThis geopolitical tension arrives at a sensitive time for global markets, as hedge funds monitor the potential return of Middle East risk premiums due to Israel's internal political instability. Compared to previous conflicts, historical data suggests that friction between Washington and Jerusalem often leads to volatility in energy prices and gold as a safe-haven asset. Per market data, continued public discontent could pressure the Israeli Shekel, especially as political pressure mounts on the Netanyahu government to address deal terms perceived as insufficient to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions.
Investors should watch for official White House responses and their impact on regional stability in the coming days. Looking at the economic calendar, focus will shift to the UK Inflation Rate data on June 17, 2026, which may signal global risk appetite amid these tensions. Crude oil levels also remain a focal point following API inventory data showing a draw of 8.33 million barrels as of June 16, 2026, potentially heightening price sensitivity to any further political escalation.