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Amid a rapid shift toward clean energy, Goldman Sachs has issued a report suggesting Brent crude prices could retreat to $55 per barrel due to the electric vehicle (EV) boom. According to reports, the acceleration in EV sales is expected to reduce global oil demand by 320,000 barrels per day by the end of next year. Global EV penetration reached 26.1% of total passenger car sales in May, marking a significant increase of 3.4 percentage points since February.
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Sign InThis forecast arrives as economic data from China, the world's largest oil importer, shows mixed signals; industrial production grew by 4.5% year-on-year in June per market data, while retail sales contracted by 0.6%. In comparison to other major institutions, Morgan Stanley recently lowered its oil price outlook citing non-OPEC supply growth, yet the Goldman Sachs $55 target remains among the most bearish on Wall Street (per research citations).
Traders should monitor U.S. API crude oil stock changes, which showed a sharp decline of 8.33 million barrels as of June 16, 2026, potentially providing short-term price support against long-term headwinds. Upcoming catalysts include inflation data from the UK and Eurozone on June 17, which will impact dollar strength and commodity pricing. Chinese demand remains the pivotal factor, especially following a 3.5% drop in the House Price Index, reflecting ongoing structural challenges in the world's second-largest economy.