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In a move reflecting the easing of geopolitical tensions in the region, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has accelerated the unwinding of risk premiums across global markets. This development caused WTI crude prices to drop by 10% on a weekly basis as supply concerns faded. Meanwhile, US stock futures retreated as traders positioned themselves ahead of the Juneteenth holiday, while the US dollar remained firm as the primary beneficiary of the shifting sentiment.
This sharp decline in energy prices follows a period of volatility that spiked shipping and insurance costs, with market data indicating that the resumption of exports has eased near-term inflationary pressures. In comparison to other assets, the US Dollar Index stabilized near recent highs, supported by Michigan Consumer Sentiment data which hit 48.9 on June 12, 2026, beating the 46 forecast per economic calendar data. Additionally, 1-year inflation expectations at 4.6% have reinforced the greenback's appeal against major peers.
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Sign InInvestors should monitor liquidity levels heading into the US public holiday, as markets may experience muted trading volumes. With the dollar holding firm, the focus shifts to upcoming catalysts including industrial production data from the Eurozone and the US to assess how lower energy costs impact manufacturing activity. Markets remain attentive to central bank commentary, particularly following the Japanese interest rate decision on June 16, 2026, which saw rates rise to 1%.