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In a move reflecting a shift in US monetary policy, investors are anticipating a potential rebound in the S&P 500 following the decline triggered by the Federal Reserve's latest decision. According to reports, Polymarket traders overwhelmingly expect the market to recover from the volatility caused by the first FOMC meeting under Kevin Warsh's leadership. The meeting rattled markets after the Fed's stance proved more hawkish than anticipated, forcing investors to reassess their positions.
This cautious optimism comes as economic data shows persistent inflationary pressures, with the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rising 1.1% month-over-month in May, exceeding the 0.7% forecast per market data released on June 11, 2026. Compared to other major indices, the S&P 500 continues to face headwinds from a stronger dollar and rising bond yields, which typically follow hawkish rhetoric from central bank officials.
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Sign InTechnically, traders are watching key support levels to confirm the sustainability of the expected rebound, especially with significant economic data due in the coming days. The economic calendar highlights the Michigan Consumer Sentiment index, which previously printed at 48.9 (as of June 12, 2026), as a crucial factor for consumer spending trends. Markets will also focus on further Fed official speeches to determine if this hawkish trajectory will persist in the medium term.