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Amid lingering uncertainty in digital asset markets, data from the prediction platform Kalshi reveals a significant shift toward a bearish outlook for Bitcoin's near-term trajectory. According to reports, traders are currently pricing a 69% probability that the price will drop to $50,000 before it manages to hit the $100,000 milestone. This trend reflects growing negative sentiment regarding short-term price action relative to major psychological resistance levels.
This bearish tilt coincides with broader pressure across the crypto ecosystem, with Coinbase (COIN) shares declining nearly 15% over the past month per market data, signaling reduced risk appetite. Analysts note that the lack of fresh institutional catalysts following the initial spot ETF excitement has contributed to this stagnation. Furthermore, the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 1.1% in June according to economic calendar data, potentially complicating the macro environment for non-yielding assets.
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Sign InLooking ahead, investors are closely watching critical support levels near $60,000 to prevent a slide toward the bearish targets identified by Kalshi traders. Key catalysts in the coming days include the Michigan Consumer Sentiment data (recorded at 48.9 on June 12) and inflation expectations, which will likely influence US Dollar strength and Bitcoin's appeal as an alternative asset.