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Sign InIn a move reflecting the resilience of the domestic economy against elevated interest rates, official data showed robust growth in US consumer spending last month. US retail and food services sales increased 0.9% in May to reach $763.7 billion, significantly outperforming market expectations of a 0.5% increase. The data also revealed a solid annual growth rate of 6.9% compared to May 2025, highlighting the persistent strength of consumer demand.
This outperformance comes as other indicators show a mixed economic picture, with the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rising 1.1% month-on-month in June, per market data released on June 11, 2026. Conversely, the Michigan Consumer Sentiment index printed at 48.9, beating the forecast of 46, which reinforces the narrative that consumers are still driving economic growth despite the diminishing cushion of prior tax refunds.
Investors should watch how this data influences the Federal Reserve's path, especially as the labor market remains tight with initial jobless claims at 229,000 as of June 11, 2026. Looking at the upcoming calendar, there are no major retail sales updates in the next seven days, but focus will shift to central bank commentary to gauge if this consumer momentum will delay potential interest rate cuts.
Update: Detailed data revealed that 'control group' sales—a key GDP component—rose 0.7%, beating the 0.4% forecast. While the 6.9% annual growth is the strongest since January 2023, BofA analysts noted that a 7% surge in gasoline prices during May has begun to squeeze discretionary spending among lower-income households.