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Amid growing optimism regarding the supply-demand balance in energy markets, latest reports reveal a significant tightening in US storage levels. The American Petroleum Institute (API) estimated a crude oil inventory draw of 8.33 million barrels for the week ending June 12, significantly exceeding analyst expectations of a 4.5 million barrel draw. This marks the ninth consecutive week of declines, resulting in a total loss of 52 million barrels over the period, although total year-to-date inventories remain down by only 1.4 million barrels.
This massive draw comes as markets await more definitive official data; previous EIA figures from June 10, 2026, already showed an actual decline of 7.228 million barrels, surpassing the forecasted 4 million barrels per market data. In comparison with the OPEC Monthly Report released on June 11, supply concerns remain a primary price driver, especially as US inflation held at 4.2% YoY as of June 10, 2026, impacting production and logistics costs across the energy sector.
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Sign InTraders should watch for the upcoming EIA Weekly Petroleum Report for official confirmation of these figures, as market prices typically align more closely with government data than API estimates. Additionally, the Eurogroup meetings and central bank speeches remain key catalysts for dollar strength, which directly impacts crude pricing. Global demand signals, particularly from China which reported a 1.2% YoY inflation rate on June 10, 2026, will be critical in determining if this inventory downtrend continues to provide price support.