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As investors reassess the trajectory of monetary policy, gold is on track for a 3% weekly decline with spot prices trading near $4,191 per ounce. Expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes have increased due to persistent inflation risks driven by higher oil prices. According to reports, the ongoing pressure from energy costs has revived bets on further monetary tightening, dampening the appeal of the non-yielding metal.
This decline comes amid robust economic data that bolstered the US dollar, with non-farm payrolls data released on June 5, 2026, showing an addition of 172k jobs, significantly beating the forecast of 85k per market data. Additionally, the US unemployment rate held steady at 4.3%, providing the Fed with more room to maneuver regarding interest rates. Compared to other assets, rising bond yields are weighing on gold, especially as inflation remains high in major economies like Turkey, which reported a 32.61% YoY rate this June.
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Sign InTechnically, traders are watching support levels near $4,150 should the selling momentum persist. Market participants should monitor the speech by the Fed's Barr scheduled for later today, June 12, 2026, for further clues on the interest rate outlook. Furthermore, the upcoming OPEC meeting will play a pivotal role in determining oil price trends, which remain the primary driver of current inflation fears impacting gold movements.