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Following weeks of price consolidation, on-chain data is flashing warning signs that could exert further downward pressure on Bitcoin in the near term. According to reports, the market price is currently hovering just above its "Realized Price," a technical metric representing the average cost basis of all coins in circulation, signaling a significant loss in upward momentum. Furthermore, data indicates a cooling of demand, particularly from spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) which had previously been the primary catalyst for growth.
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Sign InThis slowdown occurs as major cryptocurrencies remain tightly correlated with global risk appetite, with Ethereum (ETH) stabilizing near the $3,500 level per market data. Compared to the first quarter of the year, net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs have seen a marked decline, with major vehicles like BlackRock's IBIT recording several days of zero or negative flows during June (per Farside Investors data).
Traders should closely monitor key support levels for BTC, which stood at $63,120 (at close June 11, 2026). As markets await upcoming US inflation data and Federal Reserve policy signals, any breach below the realized price could trigger a deeper correction. The upcoming economic calendar also features speeches from Fed officials, which may impact US Dollar strength and subsequently the valuation of digital assets.
Update: Bitcoin price has shown a notable recovery, briefly climbing back above the $64,000 mark after dipping below $60,000. However, technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest that this rebound may face resistance, making it premature to confirm a full reversal of the recent downward trend.