Semiconductor Sector Eyes Big Tech Capex Guidance Amid High Valuations

Key Facts

Amid the massive surge in artificial intelligence investments, semiconductor sector investors are shifting focus toward upcoming July earnings calls from major hyperscalers to gauge future capital expenditure guidance. According to reports, the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) delivered an exceptional return of approximately 146% over the past year, closing at $570.91 on June 10, 2026. This scrutiny follows a 20% gain for the ETF in May alone, pushing valuations to levels that now require confirmation from the infrastructure spending plans of big tech firms.

These expectations reflect a state of cautious optimism for key suppliers like Applied Materials, as the market watches whether giants such as Microsoft and Alphabet will continue to expand data center budgets. Looking at peer performance, Nvidia's recent results showed robust data center revenue growth, setting a high bar for the entire sector per market data. Sustaining this momentum is seen as vital to justifying current price-to-earnings multiples for equipment companies that support advanced chip manufacturing.

On the technical side, AMAT stood at $499.21 (close June 09, 2026), with a trading range between $466.51 and $525.98 in recent sessions per market data. Traders should monitor upcoming U.S. Factory Orders data, alongside any commentary from Federal Reserve officials that could impact risk appetite in the growth and technology sectors.