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In a move reflecting policymakers' urgency to shield the local currency from global volatility, India has scrapped capital gains tax for foreign bond buyers in an effort to shore up the rupee. Alongside this fiscal measure, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) held interest rates steady despite mounting pressure on the currency driven by foreign capital outflows and geopolitical risks stemming from the conflict in Iran.
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Sign InThese actions come as the Indian economy navigates mixed signals; industrial production grew by 4.9% year-on-year in June 2026, significantly beating the 3.9% forecast per market data. The tax elimination is designed to enhance the attractiveness of Indian sovereign debt relative to emerging market peers, particularly following India's inclusion in major global bond indices like the JPMorgan GBI-EM, placing it in direct competition with markets such as China and Indonesia.
Investors should monitor the rupee's performance and bond inflow volumes following this stimulus. Looking at the economic calendar, focus remains on upcoming inflation and growth data to gauge the effectiveness of these measures, noting that manufacturing production showed robust growth of 6.2% as of June 1, 2026, which may provide the RBI with additional policy breathing room.