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Amid escalating geopolitical risks that have reshaped global energy flows, the United States Oil Fund (USO) has emerged as one of the top-performing assets of 2026. According to analyst reports, the fund generated nearly a 100% return from the start of the year through early June, with its value surging from $69.16 at the end of 2025 to $137.27 by June 2, 2026. This sharp rally is primarily attributed to ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Iran and threats to the security of the Strait of Hormuz.
This outperformance comes as major equity indices struggle to keep pace with commodity gains, with market data showing energy significantly leading sectors like technology and consumer discretionary. Compared to historical performance, the doubling of USO's value reflects deep-seated supply concerns, further evidenced by the EIA Weekly Petroleum Report on May 28, 2026, which showed a crude inventory draw of 3.327 million barrels, aligning closely with market expectations of a 4.1 million barrel decline per market data.
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Sign InTraders should monitor current support levels for USO following this aggressive rally, as prices remained at elevated levels as of the close on June 2, 2026. Looking ahead, the market will be watching for any further escalation in political rhetoric and upcoming U.S. inventory data as key catalysts that could either sustain this bullish trend or trigger a period of profit-taking.