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Energy markets have undergone a dramatic shift as tensions transitioned from political deadlock to direct military confrontation, sparking immediate concerns over global crude supply security. According to reports, oil futures settled at $96.02, gaining 2.41% after hitting a session high of $97.00. This surge was fueled by reports of Iranian missile and drone attacks met with retaliatory U.S. strikes, alongside escalating hostilities involving Hezbollah, confirming a technical breakout above the key resistance level of $94.71.
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Sign InThis escalation on the ground marks the end of diplomatic anticipation and the beginning of pricing in actual supply disruption risks in the Gulf region. Alongside these military developments, market data shows persistent inventory pressure, with API data on May 27, 2026, reporting a 2.8 million barrel draw, while EIA data on May 28, 2026, showed a larger decline of 3.327 million barrels. Per market data, resilient U.S. GDP growth of 1.6% continues to provide a supportive demand-side backdrop despite the prevailing uncertainty.
Regarding price action, WTI crude settled at $96.02 (close June 3, 2026), with traders now watching the $94.71 level as newly established support. Market participants are looking ahead to the EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report on June 10, 2026, which will be critical in gauging the market's capacity to absorb current geopolitical shocks. Military statements from the Pentagon and Tehran will remain the primary drivers of short-term volatility.