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Amid escalating geopolitical tensions reshaping the map of strategic resources, the global tungsten market is facing a severe supply shock threatening both military and civil industries. According to analyst reports, simultaneous wars in Ukraine and Iran have depleted sources of this metal, which is critical for manufacturing war machinery and heavy industrial equipment. China stands out as the dominant player controlling the majority of global supplies, with data indicating that Beijing is wielding this control as a geopolitical weapon against Western powers amidst ongoing conflicts.
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Sign InThis crisis arrives as competition for rare metals intensifies, with China controlling approximately 80% of global tungsten production according to U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) data. Metal prices have faced upward pressure due to supply scarcity and surging defense demand, with tungsten prices in European markets rising by over 20% since the start of the year per reports from Argus Media. This situation mirrors previous semiconductor supply chain crises, prompting Western nations to seek alternatives and reactivate domestic mines to reduce reliance on foreign suppliers.
Looking ahead, investors are closely monitoring any additional export restrictions Beijing might impose, especially following significant economic data such as U.S. Durable Goods Orders, which grew by 7.9% as of May 28, 2026, reflecting sustained industrial demand. The market is also awaiting ECB President Lagarde's speech on May 28, 2026, for signals regarding European industrial policies to counter raw material shortages. Price levels remain susceptible to further volatility as long as military pressures persist in Europe and the Middle East.