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According to reports, the EUR/USD pair has broken below its 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), signaling a technical shift toward a bearish outlook. Rising US Treasury yields and persistent energy risks within Europe continue to exert downward pressure on the single currency.
This decline coincides with robust US economic data, as retail sales grew by 0.5% in May per market data (close May 14, 2026). Meanwhile, Europe faces ongoing geopolitical tensions with Iran affecting energy security, while earlier data showed Spanish HICP inflation holding at 3.5%, complicating the ECB's position relative to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance.
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Sign InTraders should watch for potential support targets at 1.15 and 1.14 if bearish momentum persists. Looking ahead, key catalysts include a speech by ECB President Christine Lagarde (scheduled May 14, 2026) and US Initial Jobless Claims, which recently printed at 211k according to the economic calendar.