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Central Banks•15 May 2026•

2 min read

Rate Cut Hopes Dim Amid Inflation Fears and Potential Fed Leadership Shifts

Key Facts

1Steve Moore warns that hot inflation is a significant problem hindering hopes for interest rate cuts.

2Reports indicate Kevin Warsh taking over at the Fed as the AI IPO boom accelerates.

3President Trump touts a massive Boeing deal following a China summit and considers oil sanctions on Iran.

Market expectations for interest rate cuts are diminishing as Steve Moore warns that persistent inflation remains a significant hurdle for monetary easing. According to reports, Kevin Warsh is linked to potential leadership responsibilities at the Federal Reserve, occurring alongside an accelerating boom in AI-related initial public offerings. Additionally, President Trump has touted a major deal for Boeing following a summit with China, while the administration considers new oil sanctions on Iran.

These shifts occur against a backdrop of rising global price pressures; per market data, Germany's annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 2.9% in May 2026, up from 2.7% previously. In the United States, the Super Core CPI accelerated to 3.39% annually, surpassing the previous mark of 3.08% according to pre-fetched data. This trend aligns with broader concerns that inflation is proving stickier than anticipated in earlier quarterly forecasts.

Traders should closely watch current price levels, with the US monthly CPI showing a 0.4% increase (as of close May 12, 2026). Looking ahead, the economic calendar highlights upcoming speeches from Fed officials, including Governors Bowman and Waller, which may provide clarity on policy direction. Furthermore, US Existing Home Sales data will be a key catalyst for assessing the impact of sustained high rates on the housing market.