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Traders reported that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely intervening in the foreign exchange market to limit the rupee's decline. The USD/INR pair reached levels around 94.965, driven by intense pressure from rising crude oil prices. According to reports, the central bank's action aims to provide dollar liquidity and prevent a volatile breakdown of the local currency.
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Sign InThe pressure on the rupee comes as energy markets face significant disruptions, with India being the world's third-largest crude importer. Per market data, other Asian currencies like the Japanese Yen and Thai Baht are facing similar headwinds due to surging energy costs. Market analysts suggest that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz poses a direct threat to India's current account stability, necessitating active defense of the currency by the RBI.
At the close on May 12, 2026, the USD/INR pair traded near 94.950, with markets monitoring the central bank's capacity to maintain these levels. Looking ahead, investors are focused on the EIA Weekly Petroleum Report scheduled for May 13, 2026, as any further tightening in oil supply could exacerbate the downward trend for oil-dependent currencies like the rupee.