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The Indian rupee weakened to a new all-time low of 95.7450 per dollar, surpassing the previous record of 95.7375 reached on Tuesday. This decline is primarily driven by surging crude oil prices linked to the ongoing US-Iran conflict, which has intensified pressure on the currency. According to reports, economists have consequently revised India's growth projections lower and increased inflation forecasts due to rising energy costs.
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Sign InThis depreciation occurs as emerging market currencies face broader macroeconomic headwinds from rising commodity prices. Comparing regional performance, market data shows persistent pressure on trade balances; for instance, Australia's Balance of Trade reported a deficit of -1.841 billion on May 7, 2026, per market data. The rupee's slide reflects the structural vulnerability of India's current account to energy price shocks amid heightened geopolitical tensions.
Traders are now monitoring the currency's stability following the breach of previous floors as of the close on May 13, 2026. Key catalysts to watch include global energy price volatility and US labor market data, such as Initial Jobless Claims which stood at 200k as of May 7, 2026, per market data. Future movements will likely depend on the duration of the US-Iran conflict and its impact on India's import bill.