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Russia and Ukraine have announced separate, non-synchronized temporary ceasefires for early May, though conflicting schedules and mutual threats cast doubt on the truce's stability. Moscow declared a ceasefire for May 8 and 9 to mark Victory Day, while warning of massive retaliation should it face any attacks during the period. Conversely, President Zelensky initiated an earlier ceasefire starting the night of May 5-6, explicitly questioning the sincerity of Russian official appeals. Adding to the tension, the Russian Defense Ministry warned civilians and foreign diplomats in Kyiv to evacuate ahead of potential retaliatory missile strikes. These developments underscore persistent geopolitical risks, as markets remain wary of escalation despite the nominal ceasefire announcements. Analysts suggest that the lack of coordination between the two nations limits any significant bullish sentiment for global markets.
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