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U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified threats to raise tariffs on EU auto imports to 25%, causing the EUR/USD pair to drop from 1.1780 to 1.1714 amid escalating rifts with leaders in Germany, Italy, and Spain. This trade uncertainty is compounded by domestic inflationary signals, as the ISM Prices Paid component surged to 84.6, its highest level since 2022. EU officials have expressed regret over accepting 15% tariffs last year, signaling a pivot toward retaliation rather than further negotiations. Germany remains the primary target with $26 billion in exposed exports, while the U.S. administration maintains that vehicles produced in domestic plants will remain exempt. Analysts suggest the move aims to force manufacturing localization, though the combination of high inflation data and trade friction increases the risk of a broader conflict. Markets are now closely monitoring the European Commission for concrete retaliatory measures.
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