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India's gold market is facing a dramatic supply-side shock as April imports are projected to plummet to just 15 metric tons, marking a 30-year low. This sharp decline follows a period of record investment demand but is now being driven by unexpected tax demands imposed on banks, which have severely disrupted shipments. These regulatory hurdles have caused a significant bottleneck in gold deliveries to the world's second-largest consumer of the metal. Analysts suggest that this sudden collapse in supply could offset the bullish momentum previously reported by the WGC regarding investment appetite. Global markets are closely watching for a resolution to these tax disputes to restore the flow of physical gold. This development introduces a new layer of complexity for gold price discovery in the near term.
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