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Sign InThe military blockade in the Strait of Hormuz continues to disrupt global trade as a two-week ceasefire nears its expiration. Beyond the immediate energy crisis and Kuwait's force majeure declaration, traders are now warning that these disruptions are increasing the risk of a global food shock driven by surging natural gas prices. Higher gas costs are severely squeezing global fertilizer production, creating a secondary threat to international food security. While markets maintain a degree of optimism regarding a potential diplomatic resolution, the physical disruption of tanker traffic remains at 70%. The situation highlights a growing systemic risk where energy instability directly compromises the global agricultural supply chain.