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Sign InMUFG and Societe Generale have indicated that Japan is moving closer to direct market intervention as the USD/JPY pair lingers near the critical 160.00 threshold. Finance Minister Katayama confirmed high-level discussions regarding FX volatility with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and G7 members, signaling potential coordination. Adding a technical layer to the analysis, BNY highlighted a conflict between the risk of direct intervention and an existing hedge overhang that could influence USD/JPY price action. The yen has notably lost its safe-haven status due to Japan's heavy reliance on energy imports passing through the now-closed Strait of Hormuz. This geopolitical friction has spiked energy costs, driving JPY crosses to extreme highs despite broader market corrections. Market participants remain on high alert for a sharp reversal should the Ministry of Finance take formal action to stabilize the national currency.