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The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
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Sign InThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) has issued a stark warning regarding a potential global recession if the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime chokepoint, were to be closed. According to IEA estimates, restoring normal oil flows could take anywhere from 60 to 150 days, even if the strait were reopened immediately following a disruption. In response to these growing energy shock risks, Spain has already begun releasing portions of its strategic oil reserves to stabilize domestic supply. Analysts at Rabobank suggest that financial markets are currently underpricing these severe downside risks while governments implement demand-side subsidies that could further fuel inflation. A closure of the strait would likely trigger a massive spike in crude oil prices, significantly impacting global equity indices and energy-dependent currencies.