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The U.S. electric vehicle market faced a 28% sales drop in Q1 2026, with Tesla (TSLA) facing intensified pressure after losing eligibility for the $7,500 federal tax credit. Despite recent delivery efforts, Tesla is struggling with shrinking profit margins and a declining market share, leading analysts to view its trading multiples as unjustifiably high relative to deteriorating fundamentals. While Tesla pivots toward AI and robotics, NIO has emerged as a resilient competitor, exceeding delivery guidance and projecting up to 50% growth for 2026. NIO’s financial turnaround, marked by positive adjusted margins, contrasts sharply with Tesla's structural headwinds. Investors are increasingly skeptical of Tesla's valuation as the loss of fiscal incentives compounds its competitive challenges in a cooling market.
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