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Leaked intelligence documents have surfaced alleging that Ukraine planned to sabotage the TurkStream and Blue Stream pipelines to sever Russian gas supplies to Europe. The situation escalated after explosives were discovered near the pipeline infrastructure in Serbia over the weekend, sparking immediate security concerns. Serbia’s intelligence chief has not ruled out Ukraine as the primary contractor behind the plot, suggesting the potential involvement of migrant gangs in the execution. These allegations have heightened energy security fears in Hungary and Serbia, both of which remain heavily reliant on these transit routes for natural gas. The alleged plot is seen as a geopolitical move to pressure Russia and its European partners by terminating gas transit through the region. While the news adds significant geopolitical noise, there have been no physical disruptions to gas flows yet, limiting the immediate market impact on TTF Gas and EUR/USD.
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