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Saudi Arabia is set to charge its Asian customers a record premium of approximately $20 per barrel over regional benchmarks, marking the highest level ever demanded by the world’s top exporter. This unprecedented hike is driven by acute physical supply shortages from the Strait of Hormuz closure and intensified by the looming deadline set by the Trump administration regarding Iran. Real-world physical oil prices have hit record highs, signaling market stress that is far more severe than what is currently reflected in futures contracts. This significant dislocation between the physical and paper markets allows Saudi Aramco to leverage its dominant supply position effectively. Analysts expect these factors to exert sustained upward pressure on Brent and WTI Crude benchmarks. Consequently, the record premiums are likely to exacerbate inflationary pressures across major Asian economies reliant on Saudi energy.
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