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US lawmakers have introduced a series of legislative measures aimed at strictly reining in betting activities on prediction markets. The proposed legislation seeks to ban wagering on sensitive topics, including political elections, sporting events, and military conflicts. This move follows a period of heightened regulatory scrutiny faced by major platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt in recent weeks. Regulators and lawmakers have raised significant concerns regarding the ethical implications and the potential for market manipulation in betting on geopolitical outcomes. The proposed restrictions pose an existential threat to the business models of platforms that rely heavily on event contracts. If passed, this legislation could fundamentally alter the landscape of the prediction market industry in the United States.
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