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US Treasury yields are rapidly approaching the critical 5% psychological level, creating significant downward pressure on global equity markets. This surge in yields is primarily driven by rising inflation expectations and persistent geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran. Energy supply shocks have further complicated the macro outlook, leading to increased market bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike rather than the previously anticipated cuts. The 5% yield mark often triggers a major portfolio rebalancing, as bonds become more attractive relative to riskier assets like stocks. With the S&P 500 already facing pressure from regional conflicts, these rising borrowing costs add another layer of macro-economic strain. Investors remain on high alert, monitoring PPI data and geopolitical developments for further signals on market direction.
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