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Macro EconomyHigh Impact•10 March 2026•

1 min read

Rising US National Debt and $1 Billion Daily Iran War Costs Spark Fiscal Alarm

Emmanuel Macron's face centered between cracked Visa and Mastercard cards, with Euro and Ethereum symbols, bank buildings, and digital payment cards.

Key Facts

1The US national debt was expanding significantly even before the conflict with Iran began.

2The war in Iran is estimated to cost approximately $1 billion per day.

The US national debt is surging to unsustainable levels as the federal budget faces the dual pressure of pre-existing fiscal expansion and new military expenditures. Recent estimates suggest that the ongoing conflict in Iran is costing the United States approximately $1 billion per day, significantly straining the Treasury’s resources. Financial analysts are sounding the alarm over severe fiscal consequences in the near future, driven by this massive daily spending. This rapid debt accumulation is expected to impact government bond markets, potentially pushing US10Y yields higher as borrowing needs escalate. The combination of geopolitical instability and fiscal deterioration is creating a volatile environment for the US Dollar Index (DXY). Consequently, market participants are increasingly looking toward safe-haven assets like Gold (XAU/USD) to hedge against long-term economic uncertainty.