UBS Warns of Oil Price Surge Toward 'Demand Destruction' Amid Hormuz Closure

UBS has issued a stark warning that global oil prices are set to continue their upward trajectory until they trigger a phase of 'demand destruction.' This forecast follows a massive 12% single-day surge in Brent crude, which reached an intraday peak of 109 dollars per barrel. The primary catalyst for this volatility is the escalating closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most vital maritime chokepoint for energy supplies. Analysts at UBS emphasize that the severe supply constraints resulting from this disruption are creating an unprecedented shock to the global energy market. Traders are closely monitoring the situation as the physical blockage of the strait threatens the stability of international energy flows. Consequently, the bank expects persistent upward pressure on prices until high costs force a significant reduction in global consumption.

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