Bitcoin Faces Downside Risks as Odds of U.S. Market Meltdown Rise to 35%
Key Facts
Veteran strategist Ed Yardeni has raised the probability of a U.S. stock market crash this year to 35%, citing growing macroeconomic instability. This warning comes as oil prices surged past $100 per barrel following the expansion of the Iran conflict to include Saudi Arabia. Additionally, the U.S. Dollar (DXY) recorded its strongest weekly performance in a year, creating significant headwinds for risk-on assets. Bitcoin (BTC) remains particularly vulnerable to these developments as investors shift toward safe-haven assets amid intensifying geopolitical tensions. Analysts suggest that the combination of high energy costs and a dominant dollar could trigger a broader 'risk-off' sentiment across global markets. Consequently, the outlook for speculative assets remains bearish as the likelihood of a market meltdown continues to rise.
يشير الارتباط الوثيق بين البيتكوين ومؤشرات الأسهم حالياً إلى أن العملة المشفرة لا تزال تُعامل كأصل عالي المخاطر يتأثر مباشرة بتقلص السيولة العالمية، مما ينفي مؤقتاً فرضية كونها ملاذاً آمناً. فنياً، يجب على المتداولين الحذر من كسر مستويات الدعم النفسي للبيتكوين، حيث إن استمرار أسعار النفط فوق