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ForexMedium•6 March 2026•

1 min read

TD Securities Forecasts Sharp Slowdown in US February Job Growth to 60,000

Golden Yen/Yuan symbol with green arrows pointing up, and a US dollar bill sinking into cracked ground with downward arrows.

Key Facts

1TD Securities expects Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) growth to slow to just 60k in February.

2Private payrolls are expected at 70k, while government employment is projected to decline by 10k.

TD Securities has released a cautious outlook for the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, projecting a significant slowdown in employment growth for February. The firm expects the economy to add only 60,000 jobs, a figure well below recent historical averages and market expectations. Within the details, private sector payrolls are anticipated to increase by 70,000, while government employment is projected to contract by 10,000. Analysts suggest that this stabilization in the labor market provides the Federal Reserve with more room to maintain current interest rates. If realized, such a low print could exert downward pressure on the US Dollar while potentially supporting gold and equity markets. Market participants are closely watching these figures as key indicators for the Fed's next policy moves.