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Macro EconomyMedium•4 March 2026•

1 min read

Global Rearmament and Iran Conflict Drive Structural Demand for US Dollar

Emmanuel Macron's face centered between cracked Visa and Mastercard cards, with Euro and Ethereum symbols, bank buildings, and digital payment cards.

Key Facts

1The Iran conflict is contributing to a global boom in the defense sector.

2Global rearming increases the need for US dollars to settle military export contracts.

The escalating conflict involving Iran is triggering an unprecedented global surge in the defense sector, which is fundamentally bolstering the strength of the US Dollar. This global rearmament trend is driving a significant increase in the demand for USD, as it remains the primary currency for settling international military export contracts. Market analysis suggests that the dollar's strength is being supported by structural demand for top US exports, particularly defense hardware, during periods of heightened geopolitical tension. As nations ramp up their military spending, the requirement for US dollars to finalize deals with American defense contractors creates a practical, transaction-based demand. This shift reinforces the dollar's role not just as a traditional safe-haven asset, but as a critical medium for global trade settlements. Consequently, this momentum is expected to provide continued support for the US Dollar Index (DXY) and major defense stocks like Lockheed Martin and RTX.