CommoditiesMedium27 February 2026
1 min read

Barclays Forecasts Brent Crude at $80 Amid Rising US-Iran Supply Risks

Key Facts

1Barclays says Brent crude could rise to around $80 per barrel in the event of a material supply disruption.
2U.S.-Iran tensions remain elevated, posing a risk to supply stability.

Barclays has issued a new forecast suggesting Brent crude prices could surge to approximately $80 per barrel in the near term. This projection is contingent on a material disruption in global oil supplies resulting from heightened geopolitical tensions. Currently, the relationship between the United States and Iran remains strained, posing a significant threat to the stability of energy flows from the Middle East. Analysts at the bank noted that the potential for physical interruptions adds a substantial risk premium to current market prices. Consequently, investors are closely monitoring developments in the region for any signs of direct impact on production or vital transit routes. This bullish outlook reflects the ongoing fragility of the global energy supply chain in the face of increasing political instability.