Macro EconomyMedium•27 February 2026•
1 min read

US Records First Negative Net Migration Since Great Depression in 2025

Key Facts

1The U.S. experienced negative net migration in 2025, meaning more people left the country than entered.
2This demographic shift is the first of its kind since the Great Depression era in the 1930s.

The United States has recorded negative net migration in 2025, marking a historic demographic reversal as the number of people leaving the country exceeded those entering. This shift represents the first time the nation has seen more departures than arrivals since the Great Depression era of the 1930s. Analysts suggest that a combination of shifting global perceptions and domestic socio-economic challenges has diminished the country's appeal to both immigrants and current residents. This demographic decline poses a significant headwind for long-term GDP growth by potentially shrinking the labor supply and the domestic consumer base. Such a trend typically leads to reduced economic dynamism, which could exert downward pressure on the USD and broader equity markets like the SPY. The development underscores a critical turning point for the American economy as it faces unprecedented population challenges.