South America Set to Reshape Global Oil Supply by 2026

Key Facts

1South America is a key source of non-OPEC oil production growth in 2026.

2There is potential for Venezuela to reemerge as a major oil producer following major political shifts in 2025.

3World-class oil booms are rewriting the energy map of the continent.

South America is emerging as a critical driver of non-OPEC oil production growth heading into 2026, signaling a major shift in global energy dynamics. The continent is currently experiencing world-class oil booms that are fundamentally rewriting the regional production map. A key element of this outlook is the potential reemergence of Venezuela as a major global producer following anticipated political shifts in 2025. Analysts expect that this influx of new supply, driven by significant discoveries and geopolitical interventions, will exert downward pressure on global oil prices. Market participants are closely monitoring the impact of these additional barrels on Brent and WTI Crude benchmarks, as well as the performance of energy giants like XOM and CVX. This structural shift in production is set to strengthen the influence of non-OPEC producers in the global supply-demand balance over the coming years.