Macro EconomyMedium•25 February 2026•
1 min read

Moody's Analytics Warns of Imminent US Market Sell-off Citing Economic Fragility

Key Facts

1Mark Zandi of Moody's Analytics warned that elements for a meaningful market sell-off are coming into place.
2Zandi described the U.S. economy and financial markets as being in a state of fragility.
3Zandi suggested President Trump may still implement tariffs in some form despite the Supreme Court striking them down.

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, has warned that the necessary conditions for a significant market sell-off are rapidly aligning. Zandi characterized both the U.S. economy and financial markets as being in a state of fragility, raising concerns about a potential near-term correction. The economist highlighted that trade policy risks remain a major headwind, suggesting President Trump may still implement tariffs despite previous Supreme Court opposition. These warnings come at a critical juncture as investors weigh the impact of disruptive trade policies on long-term economic growth. Market participants are closely monitoring these developments, which could trigger a shift toward risk-off sentiment in major indices like the SPY and QQQ. Ultimately, the combination of policy uncertainty and economic vulnerability poses a substantial threat to current market valuations.