The US is moving forward with a broad 15% global tariff, according to a recent analysis by Commerzbank’s economic research team. This significant policy shift is based on Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 and is expected to reshape the international trade landscape. The new measures will interact with existing Most Favored Nation (MFN) duties, potentially increasing the overall cost of imports significantly. This development follows a Supreme Court ruling clarifying executive authority over tariffs, specifically regarding earlier Trump-era trade policies. Market analysts anticipate that the move will strengthen the US Dollar (DXY) due to safe-haven demand and heightened inflationary expectations. However, trade-dependent currencies such as the EUR, CNY, and MXN are likely to face volatility and downward pressure as global trade flows are disrupted.
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