US PCE Inflation Hits 3% in 2025 as December Acceleration Sparks Fed Caution on Rate Cuts

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE price index, rose 3% in 2025, driven by a notable acceleration in price trends during the month of December. This year-end surge indicates that inflationary pressures remain stickier than anticipated, complicating the central bank's path toward its 2% target. In response, Fed officials have shifted their sentiment toward explicit caution regarding future rate cuts, prioritizing price stability over immediate easing. Market participants are now pricing in a 'higher for longer' interest rate environment, which has weighed heavily on major equity indices like the SPY and QQQ. The US Dollar and 10-year Treasury yields maintained their upward trajectory as investors adjusted to the prospect of prolonged restrictive policy. Meanwhile, Gold prices faced renewed selling pressure as the hawkish shift in Fed rhetoric bolstered the case for maintaining high borrowing costs.

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