U.S. natural gas futures fell 7.4% to settle just above $3 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) as warmer weather forecasts dampened demand. This bearish trend spread to global markets, where the European benchmark Dutch TTF dropped 5.6% to 30.675 euros per megawatt-hour. European prices have now reached their lowest level in five weeks, marking the weakest performance since the second week of January. The decline in Europe is attributed to a combination of mild local weather forecasts and the sharp sell-off in U.S. benchmark futures. Market participants are recalibrating their positions as the immediate threat of extreme winter cold subsides across both continents. Consequently, the shift in seasonal demand expectations has introduced a strong bearish sentiment across global energy markets. These moves highlight the high sensitivity of natural gas prices to shifting short-term climate patterns.
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